Relax and take a deep breath

The LABI Report

By Dan Juneau
Published on Wednesday, March 10, 2010 8:50 AM CST



When things get overwhelming, we often seek to get back to the basics and simplify.  This is a particularly good idea in the midst of the current climate change/global warming debate.  For most of us, it’s been a very long time since we sat in a science class. 

Perhaps a refresher course is in order.  Our textbook for today is “A Global Warming Primer” from the National Center for Policy Analysis.

Chapter One: Just what is a greenhouse gas anyway?  Greenhouse gases partially trap solar radiation in the atmosphere.  Without these gases, the earth would be an uninhabitable, frozen rock in space. Well, don’t GHGs make up most of the atmosphere? No, to the contrary. GHGs comprise no more than one to two percent of the Earth’s atmosphere. That’s a very small slice of a very big pie. 

Chapter Two: OK, so just what are the GHGs in the atmosphere? Glad you asked.  Water vapor makes up 95 percent of that tiny slice of pie from Chapter One.  The other 5 percent is a mix of carbon dioxide (3.62 percent) and other trace gases (1.38 percent). To put it another way, carbon dioxide accounts for 0.00072 of the atmosphere. It is neither a pollutant nor a carcinogen. Where does carbon dioxide come from? CO2 is a naturally occurring greenhouse gas. Humans and other animals emit CO2 when they exhale, and plants absorb it. 

Chapter Three: So humans produce most of the CO2, right? Wrong. Humans contribute approximately 3.4 percent of annual CO2 emissions, while Nature accounts for 96.6 percent. But what about that big rise in CO2 we always hear about? Over the past 150 years or so, atmospheric CO2 concentrations have increased approximately 30 percent, rising from 270-280 to 360-390 parts per million. However, today’s levels are even lower than during previous periods in our Earth’s history.  

Chapter Four: Just how guilty are we humans for the greenhouse effect? Back in Chapter Two we learned that greenhouses gases are 95 percent water vapor and 5 percent other gases, including CO2.  These GHGs are just 1-2 percent of the total atmosphere. So, what’s the human share? Believe it or not, just 0.28 percent of the greenhouse effect is attributable to human activity. Meaning, humanity is responsible for about one-quarter of one percent of the greenhouse effect. The other 4.72 percent is attributable to ocean biologic activity, volcanoes, decaying plants, animal activity, etc.

Chapter Five: How do we compare today with long ago? In a nutshell: 550 million years ago CO2 levels were 18 times higher than today. When the dinosaurs roamed the Earth, CO2 levels were as much as nine times higher than today, and the average temperature was about 18 degrees warmer than it is today.  The Earth’s average temperature has risen about 1 degrees since 1850. 

Chapter Six: What if CO2 levels continue to rise? If that tiny fraction of the atmosphere doubled, plant productivity would improve on average 32 percent across species. This claim is based on nearly 800 scientific observations around the world. 

According to government mine safety regulations, atmospheric CO2 would have to rise as high as 5000 ppm (it’s about 390 ppm now) before it posed a direct threat to human health. 

Our refresher course could go on and on, but the primary lesson to be gleaned here is this: CO2 is a miniscule fraction of the atmosphere. 

Man-made CO2 is an even tinier fraction. 

Before this nation passes laws which will not move the thermometer but would profoundly distort our economy and way of life, we would be well served to go back to the basics and get reacquainted with the facts. 

Dan Juneaus is the president of the Louisiana Association of Business and Industry.


Comments

1 comment(s)

    Pro Science wrote on Mar 12, 2010 8:25 AM:

    " What worries me, is the real science shows a very strong correlation between atmospheric CO2, and how acidic the oceans become. Quoting real scientists: "We find the future rate of surface ocean acdification and environmental pressure on marine calcifiers very likely unprecedented in the past 65 million years...the situation in the deep sea is of even "greater concern".The scientists compared the current acidification rate with a giant prehistoric release of greenhouse gas, which geologists kn ow caused widespread extinction of deep water species."
    Yes, let's start with basic science, and also basic honesty! "

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